BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Texas State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Texas State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
32.27 |
40.83 (+8.56) |
35.78 |
38.55 (+2.78) |
38.55 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
448.73 |
434.65 (-14.08) |
467.00 |
498.93 (+31.93) |
498.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.19 |
5.80 (-0.39) |
6.71 |
7.16 (+0.45) |
7.16 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
33.82 |
38.62 (+4.80) |
19.33 |
24.29 (+4.96) |
24.29 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
408.00 |
435.78 (+27.78) |
335.22 |
361.90 (+26.68) |
361.90 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.13 |
6.57 (+0.44) |
4.90 |
5.25 (+0.36) |
5.25 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.3 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-09-01 |
Lamar |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 34-27 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
UTSA |
50.91 |
23.64 |
-27.27 |
74.55 |
93.75% |
W 49-10 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-12 |
Arizona State |
34.72 |
27.76 |
-6.97 |
62.48 |
61.17% |
L 28-31 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Sam Houston |
35.70 |
18.42 |
-17.28 |
54.11 |
77.71% |
L 39-40 |
2-2 |
| 2024-10-03 |
@Troy |
40.00 |
18.83 |
-21.17 |
58.83 |
83.95% |
W 38-17 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Arkansas State |
50.86 |
18.43 |
-32.43 |
69.29 |
99.90% |
W 41-9 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Old Dominion |
34.70 |
25.42 |
-9.28 |
60.13 |
64.89% |
L 14-24 |
4-3 |
| 2024-10-29 |
Louisiana |
37.18 |
27.47 |
-9.71 |
64.65 |
65.58% |
L 17-23 |
4-4 |
| 2024-11-09 |
@UL Monroe |
41.49 |
18.75 |
-22.75 |
60.24 |
86.48% |
W 38-17 |
5-4 |
| 2024-11-17 |
Southern Miss |
53.39 |
8.66 |
-44.73 |
62.05 |
99.90% |
W 58-3 |
6-4 |
| 2024-11-24 |
Georgia State |
48.35 |
17.89 |
-30.46 |
66.24 |
98.85% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-29 |
@South Alabama |
37.81 |
26.81 |
-11.00 |
64.63 |
67.64% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-6 |
0.38% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 7-5 |
32.91% |
0.38% |
99.62% |
| 8-4 |
66.70% |
33.30% |
66.70% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 4-8 |
0.00% |
| 5-7 |
0.02% |
| 6-6 |
0.28% |
| 7-5 |
1.96% |
| 8-4 |
8.31% |
| 9-3 |
21.14% |
| 10-2 |
32.48% |
| 11-1 |
26.68% |
| 12-0 |
9.13% |