BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Texas State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Texas State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
32.27 |
40.83 (+8.56) |
39.00 |
44.67 (+5.67) |
43.23 (-1.44) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
448.73 |
434.65 (-14.08) |
473.00 |
547.23 (+74.23) |
505.01 (-42.22) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.19 |
5.80 (-0.39) |
6.74 |
7.44 (+0.70) |
6.82 (-0.61) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
33.82 |
38.62 (+4.80) |
21.40 |
28.32 (+6.92) |
32.18 (+3.86) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
408.00 |
435.78 (+27.78) |
358.00 |
396.96 (+38.96) |
411.52 (+14.56) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.13 |
6.57 (+0.44) |
4.94 |
5.61 (+0.67) |
5.97 (+0.36) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.3 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-09-01 |
Lamar |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 34-27 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
UTSA |
57.99 |
20.03 |
-37.96 |
78.01 |
99.90% |
W 49-10 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-12 |
Arizona State |
38.74 |
35.84 |
-2.91 |
74.58 |
54.66% |
L 28-31 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Sam Houston |
45.51 |
30.97 |
-14.54 |
76.48 |
73.31% |
L 39-40 |
2-2 |
| 2024-10-03 |
@Troy |
40.48 |
33.40 |
-7.08 |
73.88 |
61.36% |
W 38-17 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Arkansas State |
53.30 |
26.68 |
-26.62 |
79.98 |
92.69% |
W 41-9 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Old Dominion |
44.95 |
29.73 |
-15.22 |
74.68 |
74.41% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-29 |
Louisiana |
49.70 |
33.70 |
-16.00 |
83.40 |
75.66% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
@UL Monroe |
30.21 |
28.18 |
-2.03 |
58.40 |
53.26% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
Southern Miss |
59.36 |
12.52 |
-46.84 |
71.88 |
99.90% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Georgia State |
50.86 |
29.54 |
-21.32 |
80.39 |
84.19% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-29 |
@South Alabama |
46.23 |
34.07 |
-12.16 |
80.29 |
69.51% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
0.15% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
2.05% |
0.15% |
99.85% |
| 7-5 |
11.53% |
2.21% |
97.79% |
| 8-4 |
30.86% |
13.73% |
86.27% |
| 9-3 |
37.90% |
44.60% |
55.40% |
| 10-2 |
17.50% |
82.50% |
17.50% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 3-9 |
0.00% |
| 4-8 |
0.02% |
| 5-7 |
0.19% |
| 6-6 |
1.52% |
| 7-5 |
6.06% |
| 8-4 |
16.43% |
| 9-3 |
27.19% |
| 10-2 |
28.41% |
| 11-1 |
16.14% |
| 12-0 |
4.04% |