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#20 Texas State 2024 Season Summary

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National Average Data

Category 2023 Raw 2024 Raw 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 26.70 26.76 26.76 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 379.93 377.68 377.68 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.70 5.71 5.71 (+0.00)

Texas State 2024 - Unit Statistics

Offense (#5)

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 32.27 40.83 (+8.56) 37.36 39.06 (+1.70) 39.06 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 448.73 434.65 (-14.08) 472.18 489.77 (+17.59) 489.77 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 6.19 5.80 (-0.39) 6.58 6.71 (+0.13) 6.71 (+0.00)

Defense (#68)

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 33.82 38.62 (+4.80) 24.00 27.72 (+3.72) 27.72 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 408.00 435.78 (+27.78) 354.18 365.62 (+11.44) 365.62 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 6.13 6.57 (+0.44) 5.29 5.39 (+0.11) 5.39 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.3

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2024-09-01 Lamar Non-FBS Opponent W 34-27 1-0
2024-09-07 UTSA 49.12 29.49 -19.63 78.61 81.48% W 49-10 2-0
2024-09-12 Arizona State 33.18 34.46 +1.28 67.64 47.94% L 28-31 2-1
2024-09-28 @Sam Houston 32.02 19.32 -12.70 51.34 70.37% L 39-40 2-2
2024-10-03 @Troy 43.05 25.47 -17.58 68.52 78.19% W 38-17 3-2
2024-10-12 Arkansas State 50.03 21.79 -28.24 71.82 95.29% W 41-9 4-2
2024-10-19 @Old Dominion 37.91 30.80 -7.10 68.71 61.39% L 14-24 4-3
2024-10-29 Louisiana 39.61 31.19 -8.42 70.80 63.50% L 17-23 4-4
2024-11-09 @UL Monroe 41.10 20.45 -20.66 61.55 83.13% W 38-17 5-4
2024-11-17 Southern Miss 54.49 11.74 -42.75 66.23 99.90% W 58-3 6-4
2024-11-24 Georgia State 49.74 24.69 -25.05 74.43 90.18% L 44-52 6-5
2024-11-29 @South Alabama 39.45 32.25 -7.19 71.70 61.53% W 45-38 7-5
2025-01-03 North Texas 50.59 33.23 -17.37 83.82 77.85% n/a n/a

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
7-6 22.24% 0.00% 100.00%
8-5 77.77% 22.24% 77.76%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
4-9 0.01%
5-8 0.09%
6-7 0.63%
7-6 2.78%
8-5 8.89%
9-4 19.35%
10-3 27.54%
11-2 25.03%
12-1 12.77%
13-0 2.91%